News
Private housing rebounds as public sector founders
20/04/2010
The value of residential construction projects starting on site during the three months to March 2010 was 37 per cent higher than the same period a year ago according to the latest Glenigan Index. Project starts increased in the private and social housing sectors. “Many projects stalled by the bad weather in January and February have now started. Housebuilder confidence has been boosted by rising house prices and property transactions seen since last summer. This recent improvement is encouraging and gradual strengthening in private residential construction is forecast for the coming months” according to Allan Wilen, economics director, Glenigan.
The value of non-residential construction project starts in the three months to March 2010 was only two per cent lower than the same period a year ago. “An increase in retail, hotel and Olympic related projects has helped offset the continued weakness of the private industrial and commercial sectors and a recent slowing in public sector projects” said Mr Wilen.
Civil engineering project starts were down 44 per cent on a year ago. “The decline is the result of fewer road and rail projects and delays to planned energy projects. A surge in project starts during the same period a year ago when civil engineering was by far the strongest construction sector exaggerates the recent decline” commented Mr Wilen.
Regionally the Midlands and Yorkshire & the Humber have seen a rise in overall construction project starts, while the North West, South West and South East of England continued to record double digit falls compared to the first three months of 2009.
The rise in public sector project starts since April 2009 has begun to lose momentum and the impending general election will exacerbate the fall. Mr Wilen added “While private sector projects are forecast to improve over the course of 2010, Government cuts will further restrict the flow of public sector schemes over the medium term. Conditions in the industrial and commercial property markets have moved off the low point reached in the first half of 2009 and project starts in these sectors are forecast to gradually improve in the second half of the year.”
This article is reproduced from the Glenigan subscriber newsletter - kindly made available to CIMCIG members free here - http://www.glenigan.com/newsletter2010/apr20th2010_custnews.asp
Anyone interested in the housing sector may be interested in CIMCIG's housing event on May 11 - http://www.cimcig.org/events.php?id=247
